Today / Orduspor vs Z. Komurspor

Orduspor vs Z. Komurspor Prediction

Saturday, April 18, 2026

Orduspor

PPG 2.43 · HOME

3 – 4

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

Z. Komurspor

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.43), Away GOOD (1.50) - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.7%0-13.0%0-21.2%0-30.3%0-4+0.1%1 1-09.2%1-17.5%1-23.1%1-30.8%1-4+0.2%2 2-011.3%2-19.3%2-23.8%2-31.0%2-4+0.3%3 3-09.4%3-17.7%3-23.2%3-30.9%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-010.5%4+-18.6%4+-23.5%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 73.6% — — —

Draw 16.0% — — —

Away win 10.4% — — —

Over 2.5 64.0% — — —

Over 3.5 41.9% — — —

BTTS 51.3% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 58%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-4

xG (home)2.5 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob51.3%

H 74% / xG 2.5-0.8 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 51%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 11.3%

#2 3–0 9.4%

#3 2–1 9.3%

#4 1–0 9.2%

#5 3–1 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Orduspor2.5

Z. Komurspor0.8

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.0% · O3.5 PROB 41.9%

Form & verdict PPG

ORDUSPOR · PPG 2.43

Z. KOMURSPOR · PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.43), Away GOOD (1.50) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Orduspor (H) 73.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 16.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Z. Komurspor (A) 10.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Orduspor face Z. Komurspor on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Orduspor a 74% chance, the draw 16% and Z. Komurspor 10%, so Orduspor are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.5 for Orduspor and 0.8 for Z. Komurspor (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Orduspor are averaging 2.43 points per game versus 1.50 for Z. Komurspor. This match finished 3-4.

Orduspor vs Z. Komurspor Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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