Today / M. Boleslav U19 vs Dukla P. U19

M. Boleslav U19 vs Dukla P. U19 Prediction

Saturday, May 9, 2026

M. Boleslav U19
PPG 1.67 · HOME
1 – 1
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS
Dukla P. U19
PPG 1.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.67) > Away AVERAGE (1.33)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.9%0-14.7%0-23.8%0-32.0%0-4+1.2%1 1-05.5%1-19.0%1-27.3%1-33.9%1-4+2.3%2 2-05.3%2-18.7%2-27.0%2-33.8%2-4+2.2%3 3-03.4%3-15.6%3-24.5%3-32.4%3-4+1.4%4+ 4+-02.6%4+-14.2%4+-23.4%4+-31.8%4+-4+1.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 42.0%
Draw 25.4%
Away win 32.6%
Over 2.5 61.7%
Over 3.5 47.4%
BTTS 62.5%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 48%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 1-1
xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob62.5%

H 42% / xG 1.9-1.6 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.0%
#2 2–1 8.7%
#3 1–2 7.3%
#4 2–2 7.0%
#5 3–1 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

M. Boleslav U191.9
Dukla P. U191.6

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.7% · O3.5 PROB 47.4%

Form & verdict PPG

M. BOLESLAV U19 · PPG 1.67

DUKLA P. U19 · PPG 1.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.67) > Away AVERAGE (1.33)

Win probability 1X2

M. Boleslav U19 (H) 42.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 25.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Dukla P. U19 (A) 32.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

M. Boleslav U19 face Dukla P. U19 on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives M. Boleslav U19 a 42% chance, the draw 25% and Dukla P. U19 33%, so M. Boleslav U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for M. Boleslav U19 and 1.6 for Dukla P. U19 (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, M. Boleslav U19 are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 1.33 for Dukla P. U19. This match finished 1-1.

PredictVantage

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