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Kaya FC vs Stallion Prediction— Philippines - PFL

Group Stage ·Saturday, May 9, 2026, 08:00

Kaya FC

PPG 2.20 · HOME

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Stallion

PPG 1.80 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.20) > Away GOOD (1.80)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.9%0-12.5%0-21.7%0-30.7%0-4+0.3%1 1-05.0%1-16.6%1-24.4%1-31.9%1-4+0.9%2 2-06.6%2-18.7%2-25.8%2-32.6%2-4+1.1%3 3-05.8%3-17.7%3-25.1%3-32.3%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-07.3%4+-19.6%4+-26.4%4+-32.8%4+-4+1.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 54.3% — — —

Draw 22.7% — — —

Away win 23.0% — — —

Over 2.5 61.7% — — —

Over 3.5 56.1% — — —

BTTS 62.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 63%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 40%

ROI -19.8%

Bet Hit 55%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 64%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)2.6 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob62.5%

H 54% / xG 2.6-1.3 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 8.7%

#2 3–1 7.7%

#3 1–1 6.6%

#4 2–0 6.6%

#5 3–0 5.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kaya FC2.6

Stallion1.3

COMBINED 4.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.7% · O3.5 PROB 56.1%

Form & verdict PPG

KAYA FC · PPG 2.20

STALLION · PPG 1.80

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.20) > Away GOOD (1.80)

Win probability 1X2

Kaya FC (H) 54.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Stallion (A) 23.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Kaya FC face Stallion in Philippines - PFL on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kaya FC a 54% chance, the draw 23% and Stallion 23%, so Kaya FC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for Kaya FC and 1.3 for Stallion (4.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kaya FC are averaging 2.20 points per game versus 1.80 for Stallion. This match finished 2-2.

Kaya FC vs Stallion Prediction— Philippines - PFL

Match Preview & Prediction

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