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Broadbeach Utd vs SC Wanderers Prediction— Australia - Queensland Premier League

Regular Season - 10 ·Saturday, May 9, 2026, 08:00

Broadbeach Utd

PPG 2.33 · HOME

3 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

SC Wanderers

PPG 1.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 61.7% vs bookmaker-implied 72.5%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.5%0-12.8%0-21.5%0-30.6%0-4+0.2%1 1-06.5%1-17.1%1-23.9%1-31.5%1-4+0.5%2 2-08.4%2-19.2%2-25.1%2-31.9%2-4+0.7%3 3-07.2%3-17.9%3-24.4%3-31.6%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-08.6%4+-19.5%4+-25.3%4+-31.9%4+-4+0.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 58.0% 61.7% 1.62 -6.0%

Draw 20.7% 23.8% 4.20 -7.8%

Away win 21.3% 24.4% 4.10 -7.6%

Over 2.5 61.7% 72.5% 1.38 -14.8%

Over 3.5 50.3% 51.3% 1.95 -1.9%

BTTS 58.8% 71.4% 1.40 -17.7%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 33 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 36%

ROI -0.9%

Bet Hit 70%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 58%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)2.6 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob58.8%

H 58% / xG 2.6-1.1 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 9.2%

#2 2–0 8.4%

#3 1–1 7.1%

#4 3–1 7.9%

#5 3–0✓ 7.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Broadbeach Utd2.6

SC Wanderers1.1

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.7% · O3.5 PROB 50.3%

Form & verdict PPG

BROADBEACH UTD · PPG 2.33

SC WANDERERS · PPG 1.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.33) > Away GOOD (1.75)

Win probability 1X2

Broadbeach Utd (H) 58.0%

ODDS 1.62 · IMPLIED 61.7% EV -6.0%

Draw 20.7%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV -7.8%

SC Wanderers (A) 21.3%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV -7.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Broadbeach Utd face SC Wanderers in Australia - Queensland Premier League on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Broadbeach Utd a 58% chance, the draw 21% and SC Wanderers 21%, so Broadbeach Utd are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for Broadbeach Utd and 1.1 for SC Wanderers (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Broadbeach Utd are averaging 2.33 points per game versus 1.75 for SC Wanderers. This match finished 3-0.

Broadbeach Utd vs SC Wanderers Prediction— Australia - Queensland Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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