Today / George Cross vs Hume City

George Cross vs Hume City Prediction

Saturday, May 9, 2026

George Cross
PPG 1.60 · HOME
2 – 4
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS
Hume City
PPG 1.60 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.60), Away GOOD (1.60)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.1%0-112.0%0-27.8%0-33.4%0-4+1.5%1 1-09.9%1-113.0%1-28.5%1-33.7%1-4+1.6%2 2-05.4%2-17.0%2-24.6%2-32.0%2-4+0.9%3 3-01.9%3-12.5%3-21.7%3-30.7%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-10.9%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 35.0%
Draw 28.3%
Away win 36.7%
Over 2.5 46.5%
Over 3.5 22.0%
BTTS 52.3%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 29%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 2-4
xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob52.3%

D 28% / xG 1.1-1.3 / U2.5 46% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.0%
#2 0–0 9.1%
#3 0–1 12.0%
#4 1–2 8.5%
#5 1–0 9.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

George Cross1.1
Hume City1.3

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.5% · O3.5 PROB 22.0%

Form & verdict PPG

GEORGE CROSS · PPG 1.60

HUME CITY · PPG 1.60

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.60), Away GOOD (1.60)

Win probability 1X2

George Cross (H) 35.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 28.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Hume City (A) 36.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

George Cross face Hume City on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives George Cross a 35% chance, the draw 28% and Hume City 37%, so Hume City are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for George Cross and 1.3 for Hume City (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, George Cross are averaging 1.60 points per game versus 1.60 for Hume City. This match finished 2-4.

PredictVantage

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