Today / North Star vs Robina City
North Star vs Robina City Prediction
Saturday, May 9, 2026
// Model verdict
Over 2.5
Combined xG of 3.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line.
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
A 50% / xG 1.4-2.1 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 59%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.7% · O3.5 PROB 45.5%
Form & verdict
NORTH STAR · PPG 0.75
ROBINA CITY · PPG 0.50
Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.75), Away POOR (0.50)
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
North Star face Robina City on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives North Star a 25% chance, the draw 25% and Robina City 50%, so Robina City are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for North Star and 2.1 for Robina City (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, North Star are averaging 0.75 points per game versus 0.50 for Robina City. This match finished 4-0.