Today / K. Eregli vs Orduspor 1967

K. Eregli vs Orduspor 1967 Prediction

Group 3 - 30 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 11:00

K. Eregli

PPG 2.07 · HOME

5 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Orduspor 1967

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.07), Away AVERAGE (1.00) - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.5%0-13.0%0-20.8%0-30.2%0-4+0.0%1 1-013.0%1-17.1%1-21.9%1-30.4%1-4+0.1%2 2-015.2%2-18.3%2-22.3%2-30.4%2-4+0.1%3 3-011.9%3-16.5%3-21.8%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-012.2%4+-16.7%4+-21.8%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 77.8% — — —

Draw 15.3% — — —

Away win 6.9% — — —

Over 2.5 55.3% — — —

Over 3.5 33.0% — — —

BTTS 38.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 69%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 5-3

xG (home)2.3 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob38.2%

H 78% / xG 2.3-0.5 / O2.5 55% / NoBTTS 38%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 15.2%

#2 1–0 13.0%

#3 3–0 11.9%

#4 2–1 8.3%

#5 1–1 7.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

K. Eregli2.3

Orduspor 19670.5

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 55.3% · O3.5 PROB 33.0%

Form & verdict PPG

K. EREGLI · PPG 2.07

ORDUSPOR 1967 · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.07), Away AVERAGE (1.00) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

K. Eregli (H) 77.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 15.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Orduspor 1967 (A) 6.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

K. Eregli face Orduspor 1967 on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives K. Eregli a 78% chance, the draw 15% and Orduspor 1967 7%, so K. Eregli are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for K. Eregli and 0.5 for Orduspor 1967 (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 38% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, K. Eregli are averaging 2.07 points per game versus 1.00 for Orduspor 1967. This match finished 5-3.

K. Eregli vs Orduspor 1967 Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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