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Australia - Queensland Premier League logo Australia flag Australia - Queensland Premier League Regular Season - 10 Saturday, May 9, 2026 07:00
Holland Park H. logo Holland Park H. PPG 1.50
3-5 MISS
Caboolture logo Caboolture PPG 2.00
Draw· +3.1% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
45% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 37.3%
Odds: 2.70 EV: +0.7%
Draw 26.3%
Odds: 4.00 EV: +3.1%
Away 36.4%
Odds: 2.10 EV: -23.6%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 61.7% Odds: 1.30 -19.8%
Over 3.5 49.5% Odds: 1.77 -12.4%
BTTS 62.8% Odds: 1.28 -19.6%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-2
3rd 2-1
4th 2-2
5th 1-3

Expected Goals (xG)

Holland Park H.
1.77
Caboolture
1.88

Model Suggestion

BTTS -19.6% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -19.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Draw (+3.1%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 62%
O2.5/Under 77%
BTTS/No 65%
Score Hit 35%

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
45%
DANGER

Home weakness: GOOD (1.50) vs Away EXCELLENT (2.00)

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