Today / Giresunspor vs K. Idmanyurdu

Giresunspor vs K. Idmanyurdu Prediction

Group 3 - 30 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 11:00

Giresunspor logo
Giresunspor
PPG 0.93 · HOME
0 – 1
FULL TIME
K. Idmanyurdu logo
K. Idmanyurdu
PPG 1.07 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.7%0-110.2%0-24.9%0-31.6%0-4+0.5%1 1-013.6%1-113.1%1-26.3%1-32.0%1-4+0.6%2 2-08.7%2-18.4%2-24.0%2-31.3%2-4+0.4%3 3-03.7%3-13.6%3-21.7%3-30.5%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-11.5%4+-20.7%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 43.8%
Draw 28.3%
Away win 27.9%
Over 2.5 38.8%
Over 3.5 18.8%
BTTS 44.5%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 38%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 0-1
xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob44.5%

H 44% / xG 1.3-1.0 / U2.5 39% / NoBTTS 44%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 13.6%
#2 1–1 13.1%
#3 0–0 10.7%
#4 0–1 10.2%
#5 2–0 8.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Giresunspor1.3
K. Idmanyurdu1.0

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 38.8% · O3.5 PROB 18.8%

Form & verdict PPG

GIRESUNSPOR · PPG 0.93

K. IDMANYURDU · PPG 1.07

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.93), Away AVERAGE (1.07)

Win probability 1X2

Giresunspor (H) 43.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 28.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
K. Idmanyurdu (A) 27.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Giresunspor face K. Idmanyurdu on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Giresunspor a 44% chance, the draw 28% and K. Idmanyurdu 28%, so Giresunspor are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Giresunspor and 1.0 for K. Idmanyurdu (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Giresunspor are averaging 0.93 points per game versus 1.07 for K. Idmanyurdu. This match finished 0-1.

PredictVantage

Free daily football predictions across 240+ leagues. A Poisson-based model analyses team form, attack and defence strength, and live bookmaker odds to surface value bets — updated every day, graded every night.

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