Today / Fatsa B. vs Cayelispor

Fatsa B. vs Cayelispor Prediction

Group 3 - 30 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 11:00

Fatsa B.

PPG 1.93 · HOME

5 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Cayelispor

PPG 0.71 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home team in GOOD form (1.93), Away POOR (0.71) - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.6%0-14.1%0-21.1%0-30.2%0-4+0.0%1 1-015.5%1-18.3%1-22.2%1-30.4%1-4+0.1%2 2-015.8%2-18.5%2-22.3%2-30.4%2-4+0.1%3 3-010.7%3-15.8%3-21.6%3-30.3%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-08.8%4+-14.7%4+-21.3%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 72.9% — — —

Draw 18.5% — — —

Away win 8.6% — — —

Over 2.5 47.7% — — —

Over 3.5 26.0% — — —

BTTS 36.3% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 56%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 5-1

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob36.3%

H 73% / xG 2.0-0.5 / O2.5 48% / NoBTTS 36%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 15.8%

#2 1–0 15.5%

#3 3–0 10.7%

#4 2–1 8.5%

#5 1–1 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Fatsa B.2.0

Cayelispor0.5

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 47.7% · O3.5 PROB 26.0%

Form & verdict PPG

FATSA B. · PPG 1.93

CAYELISPOR · PPG 0.71

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in GOOD form (1.93), Away POOR (0.71) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Fatsa B. (H) 72.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 18.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Cayelispor (A) 8.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Fatsa B. face Cayelispor on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Fatsa B. a 73% chance, the draw 19% and Cayelispor 9%, so Fatsa B. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Fatsa B. and 0.5 for Cayelispor (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 36% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Fatsa B. are averaging 1.93 points per game versus 0.71 for Cayelispor. This match finished 5-1.

Fatsa B. vs Cayelispor Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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