Metropolitanos vs E. Merida Prediction & Tips

Venezuela - Primera División Apertura - Quadrangular - 2 Estadio Olimpico de la UCV· Caracas Friday, May 8, 2026 23:00

Metropolitanos PPG 2.14

2-0 HIT CS4

E. Merida PPG 1.43

Away· -1.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Home 44.3%

Odds: 1.91 EV: -15.4%

Draw 29.4%

Odds: 3.25 EV: -2.7%

Away 26.3%

Odds: 3.70 EV: -1.6%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Over 2.5 45.8% Odds: 1.93 -11.6%

Over 3.5 17.8% Odds: 3.25 -25.3%

BTTS 50.9% Odds: 1.73 -11.9%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 2-0 ✔

5th 2-1 ✘

Metropolitanos

1.30

E. Merida

0.89

Model SuggestionBTTS -11.9% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -11.9% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.14) > Away AVERAGE (1.43)