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Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana logo Argentina flag Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana Regular Season - 15 Excursionistas Stadium· Buenos Aires Friday, May 8, 2026 23:00
Excursionistas logo Excursionistas PPG 2.17
0-0 HIT MostLikelyScore
UAI Urquiza logo UAI Urquiza PPG 1.17
Draw· +30.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 36.3%
Odds: 1.85 EV: -32.9%
Draw 42.1%
Odds: 3.10 EV: +30.5%
Away 21.6%
Odds: 4.20 EV: -5.6%
Result: Draw ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 23.8% Odds: 2.70 -21.4%
Over 3.5 2.7% Odds: 5.00 -51.9%
BTTS 29.3% Odds: 2.30 -19.6%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-0
2nd 1-0
3rd 0-1
4th 1-1
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Excursionistas
0.72
UAI Urquiza
0.40

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.17) vs P(Home)=36.3%

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