Today / Yesilyurtspor vs Kilis Belediyes

Yesilyurtspor vs Kilis Belediyes Prediction

Group 2 - 30 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 11:00

Yesilyurtspor

PPG 1.64 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Kilis Belediyes

PPG 0.79 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home team in GOOD form (1.64), Away POOR (0.79) - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.8%0-12.4%0-20.8%0-30.2%0-4+0.0%1 1-09.9%1-16.4%1-22.0%1-30.4%1-4+0.1%2 2-013.1%2-18.4%2-22.7%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-011.5%3-17.4%3-22.4%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-014.4%4+-19.2%4+-22.9%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 79.9% — — —

Draw 13.4% — — —

Away win 6.7% — — —

Over 2.5 63.6% — — —

Over 3.5 41.5% — — —

BTTS 43.8% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 0 67%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)2.6 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob43.8%

H 80% / xG 2.6-0.6 / O2.5 64% / NoBTTS 44%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0✓ 13.1%

#2 3–0 11.5%

#3 1–0 9.9%

#4 2–1 8.4%

#5 4–0 7.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Yesilyurtspor2.6

Kilis Belediyes0.6

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.6% · O3.5 PROB 41.5%

Form & verdict PPG

YESILYURTSPOR · PPG 1.64

KILIS BELEDIYES · PPG 0.79

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in GOOD form (1.64), Away POOR (0.79) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Yesilyurtspor (H) 79.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 13.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Kilis Belediyes (A) 6.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Yesilyurtspor face Kilis Belediyes on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Yesilyurtspor a 80% chance, the draw 13% and Kilis Belediyes 7%, so Yesilyurtspor are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for Yesilyurtspor and 0.6 for Kilis Belediyes (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Yesilyurtspor are averaging 1.64 points per game versus 0.79 for Kilis Belediyes. This match finished 2-0.

Yesilyurtspor vs Kilis Belediyes Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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