Today / Cork City vs UC Dublin

Cork City vs UC Dublin Prediction

Friday, May 8, 2026

Cork City

PPG 2.57 · HOME

3 – 1

FULL TIME

UC Dublin

PPG 1.57 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.8%0-112.8%0-25.9%0-31.8%0-4+0.5%1 1-014.5%1-113.5%1-26.3%1-31.9%1-4+0.5%2 2-07.7%2-17.1%2-23.3%2-31.0%2-4+0.3%3 3-02.7%3-12.5%3-21.2%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-10.8%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 39.2% — — —

Draw 31.9% — — —

Away win 29.0% — — —

Over 2.5 36.4% — — —

Over 3.5 14.0% — — —

BTTS 48.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 35%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-1

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob48.2%

H 39% / xG 1.1-0.9 / U2.5 36% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 13.8%

#2 1–1 13.5%

#3 1–0 14.5%

#4 0–1 12.8%

#5 2–0 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Cork City1.1

UC Dublin0.9

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 36.4% · O3.5 PROB 14.0%

Form & verdict PPG

CORK CITY · PPG 2.57

UC DUBLIN · PPG 1.57

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.57) vs P(Home)=39.2%

Win probability 1X2

Cork City (H) 39.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 31.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

UC Dublin (A) 29.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Cork City face UC Dublin on Friday, May 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Cork City a 39% chance, the draw 32% and UC Dublin 29%, so Cork City are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Cork City and 0.9 for UC Dublin (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Cork City are averaging 2.57 points per game versus 1.57 for UC Dublin. This match finished 3-1.

Cork City vs UC Dublin Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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