Today / Bangladesh - Premier League / Bashundhara K. vs B. Police

Bashundhara K. vs B. Police Prediction— Bangladesh - Premier League

Regular Season - 16 ·Friday, May 8, 2026, 09:45

Bashundhara K.

PPG 2.71 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

B. Police

PPG 1.71 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.71) vs P(Home)=50.3%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.9%0-18.0%0-23.2%0-30.9%0-4+0.2%1 1-015.0%1-112.0%1-24.8%1-31.3%1-4+0.3%2 2-011.3%2-19.1%2-23.6%2-31.0%2-4+0.2%3 3-05.7%3-14.5%3-21.8%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-03.0%4+-12.4%4+-21.0%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 50.3% — — —

Draw 26.9% — — —

Away win 22.8% — — —

Over 2.5 46.3% — — —

Over 3.5 20.3% — — —

BTTS 50.9% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 20 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 70%

O2.5 45%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 30%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob50.9%

H 50% / xG 1.5-0.8 / U2.5 46% / BTTS 51%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 12.0%

#2 1–0 15.0%

#3 0–0 9.9%

#4 2–0 11.3%

#5 2–1 9.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bashundhara K.1.5

B. Police0.8

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.3% · O3.5 PROB 20.3%

Form & verdict PPG

BASHUNDHARA K. · PPG 2.71

B. POLICE · PPG 1.71

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.71) vs P(Home)=50.3%

Win probability 1X2

Bashundhara K. (H) 50.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

B. Police (A) 22.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Bashundhara K. face B. Police in Bangladesh - Premier League on Friday, May 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bashundhara K. a 50% chance, the draw 27% and B. Police 23%, so Bashundhara K. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Bashundhara K. and 0.8 for B. Police (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bashundhara K. are averaging 2.71 points per game versus 1.71 for B. Police. This match finished 1-1.

Bashundhara K. vs B. Police Prediction— Bangladesh - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Bangladesh - Premier League Predictions