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Bangladesh - Premier League
Regular Season - 16
Friday, May 8, 2026
09:45
PWD Sports Club
PPG 0.86
0-2
HIT MostLikelyScore
Abahani
PPG 1.71
Home· +22.5%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
63% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
13.1%
Odds: 10.50
EV: +22.5%
Draw
26.4%
Odds: 4.75
EV: +15.2%
Away
60.5%
Odds: 1.22
EV: -26.2%
Model lean:
Away
Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
52.8%
Odds: 1.55
-18.2%
Over 3.5
27.7%
Odds: 2.35
-20.9%
BTTS
50.9%
Odds: 2.15
+9.4%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘
BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st
0-2
✔
2nd
0-1
✘
3rd
1-1
✘
4th
1-2
✘
5th
0-3
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
PWD Sports Club
0.70
Abahani
1.96
Model Suggestion
Away
-26.2%
NO VALUE BET
No value bet:
model leans Away, but EV is -26.2% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV:
Home (+22.5%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
63%
UPSET_VALUE
Away momentum: GOOD form (1.71) vs Home POOR (0.86)