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Fakirerpool vs Fortis Prediction— Bangladesh - Premier League

Regular Season - 16 ·Friday, May 8, 2026, 09:45

Fakirerpool

PPG 0.71 · HOME

1 – 7

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

Fortis

PPG 1.86 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Model probability 60.5% vs bookmaker-implied 78.1%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.5%0-116.9%0-215.0%0-38.9%0-4+5.9%1 1-05.5%1-19.7%1-28.6%1-35.1%1-4+3.4%2 2-01.6%2-12.8%2-22.5%2-31.5%2-4+1.0%3 3-00.3%3-10.5%3-20.5%3-30.3%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.1%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 13.1% 12.8% 7.80 +1.3%

Draw 26.4% 20.8% 4.80 +16.0%

Away win 60.5% 78.1% 1.28 -22.6%

Over 2.5 46.5% 69.4% 1.44 -33.0%

Over 3.5 21.1% 50.0% 2.00 -34.7%

BTTS 48.2% 58.8% 1.70 -18.1%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 20 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 70%

O2.5 45%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 38%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-7

xG (home)0.6 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob48.2%

A 60% / xG 0.6-1.8 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 16.9%

#2 0–2 15.0%

#3 1–1 9.7%

#4 0–0 9.5%

#5 0–3 8.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Fakirerpool0.6

Fortis1.8

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.5% · O3.5 PROB 21.1%

Form & verdict PPG

FAKIRERPOOL · PPG 0.71

FORTIS · PPG 1.86

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.86) vs Home POOR (0.71)

Win probability 1X2

Fakirerpool (H) 13.1%

ODDS 7.80 · IMPLIED 12.8% EV +1.3%

Draw 26.4%

ODDS 4.80 · IMPLIED 20.8% EV +16.0%

Fortis (A) 60.5%

ODDS 1.28 · IMPLIED 78.1% EV -22.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Fakirerpool face Fortis in Bangladesh - Premier League on Friday, May 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Fakirerpool a 13% chance, the draw 26% and Fortis 61%, so Fortis are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for Fakirerpool and 1.8 for Fortis (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Fakirerpool are averaging 0.71 points per game versus 1.86 for Fortis. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +16.0%. This match finished 1-7.

Fakirerpool vs Fortis Prediction— Bangladesh - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Bangladesh - Premier League Predictions