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Bangladesh - Premier League
Regular Season - 16
Shahid Barkat Stadium· Gazipur
Friday, May 8, 2026
09:45
Fakirerpool
PPG 0.71
1-7
MISS
Fortis
PPG 1.86
Draw· +16.0%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
63% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
13.1%
Odds: 7.80
EV: +1.3%
Draw
26.4%
Odds: 4.80
EV: +16.0%
Away
60.5%
Odds: 1.28
EV: -22.6%
Model lean:
Away
Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
46.5%
Odds: 1.44
-33.0%
Over 3.5
21.1%
Odds: 2.00
-34.7%
BTTS
48.2%
Odds: 1.70
-18.1%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘
BTTS NO → YES ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st
0-1
✘
2nd
0-2
✘
3rd
1-1
✘
4th
0-0
✘
5th
0-3
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Fakirerpool
0.57
Fortis
1.78
Model Suggestion
Away
-22.6%
NO VALUE BET
No value bet:
model leans Away, but EV is -22.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV:
Draw (+16.0%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
63%
UPSET_VALUE
Away momentum: GOOD form (1.86) vs Home POOR (0.71)