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Bangladesh - Premier League logo Bangladesh flag Bangladesh - Premier League Regular Season - 16 Shahid Barkat Stadium· Gazipur Friday, May 8, 2026 09:45
Fakirerpool logo Fakirerpool PPG 0.71
1-7 MISS
Fortis logo Fortis PPG 1.86
Draw· +16.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
63% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 13.1%
Odds: 7.80 EV: +1.3%
Draw 26.4%
Odds: 4.80 EV: +16.0%
Away 60.5%
Odds: 1.28 EV: -22.6%
Model lean: Away Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.5% Odds: 1.44 -33.0%
Over 3.5 21.1% Odds: 2.00 -34.7%
BTTS 48.2% Odds: 1.70 -18.1%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-1
2nd 0-2
3rd 1-1
4th 0-0
5th 0-3

Expected Goals (xG)

Fakirerpool
0.57
Fortis
1.78

Model Suggestion

Away -22.6% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Away, but EV is -22.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Draw (+16.0%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
63%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.86) vs Home POOR (0.71)

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