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Australia - Victoria NPL logo Australia flag Australia - Victoria NPL Regular Season - 12 Friday, May 8, 2026 09:30
Bentleigh G. logo Bentleigh G. PPG 2.00
0-7 MISS
Melbourne C. B logo Melbourne C. B PPG 1.60
Home· +18.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 38.2%
Odds: 3.10 EV: +18.4%
Draw 25.9%
Odds: 4.10 EV: +3.7%
Away 35.9%
Odds: 1.83 EV: -34.3%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.3% Odds: 1.65 -2.2%
Over 3.5 32.8% Odds: 2.38 -21.9%
BTTS 58.8% Odds: 1.67 -1.8%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 1-2
4th 0-0
5th 1-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Bentleigh G.
1.50
Melbourne C. B
1.39

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -2.2% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -2.2% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Home (+18.4%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.00) > Away GOOD (1.60)

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