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Australia - Victoria NPL 2
Regular Season - 12
Friday, May 8, 2026
09:30
Brunswick City
PPG 1.29
1-1
HIT CS2
North Sunshine
PPG 0.86
Over3.5· +15.2%
✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
75% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
49.7%
Odds: 1.95
EV: -3.1%
Draw
24.0%
Odds: 3.50
EV: -9.6%
Away
26.2%
Odds: 2.90
EV: -14.4%
Model lean:
BTTS
Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw ✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
61.7%
Odds: 1.40
-13.6%
Over 3.5
60.0%
Odds: 1.92
+15.2%
BTTS
63.0%
Odds: 1.35
-14.9%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘
BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st
2-1
✘
2nd
1-1
✔
3rd
2-2
✘
4th
3-1
✘
5th
1-2
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Brunswick City
2.39
North Sunshine
1.78
Model Suggestion
BTTS
-14.9%
EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking:
excluded — EV is negative (-14.9%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.
Verdict & Form
✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
75%
MODERATE_HOME
Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.29) > Away POOR (0.86)