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Zorya U19 vs Metalist U19 Prediction— Ukraine - U19 League

Regular Season - 27 ·Friday, May 8, 2026, 09:00

Zorya U19

PPG 1.85 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

Metalist U19

PPG 1.23 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.9%0-112.5%0-26.1%0-32.0%0-4+0.6%1 1-013.9%1-113.5%1-26.6%1-32.1%1-4+0.6%2 2-07.5%2-17.3%2-23.5%2-31.1%2-4+0.3%3 3-02.7%3-12.6%3-21.3%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-10.9%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.4% — — —

Draw 30.3% — — —

Away win 31.3% — — —

Over 2.5 45.8% — — —

Over 3.5 15.2% — — —

BTTS 48.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 39 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 41%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 36%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob48.2%

D 30% / xG 1.1-1.0 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.5%

#2 0–0✓ 12.9%

#3 1–0 13.9%

#4 0–1 12.5%

#5 2–0 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Zorya U191.1

Metalist U191.0

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.8% · O3.5 PROB 15.2%

Form & verdict PPG

ZORYA U19 · PPG 1.85

METALIST U19 · PPG 1.23

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.85) > Away AVERAGE (1.23)

Win probability 1X2

Zorya U19 (H) 38.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 30.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Metalist U19 (A) 31.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Zorya U19 face Metalist U19 in Ukraine - U19 League on Friday, May 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Zorya U19 a 38% chance, the draw 30% and Metalist U19 31%, so Zorya U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Zorya U19 and 1.0 for Metalist U19 (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Zorya U19 are averaging 1.85 points per game versus 1.23 for Metalist U19. This match finished 0-0.

Zorya U19 vs Metalist U19 Prediction— Ukraine - U19 League

Match Preview & Prediction

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