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RAAL LL U21 vs Beerschot U21 Prediction— Belgium - Reserve Pro League

Regular Season - 25 ·Friday, May 8, 2026, 18:30

RAAL LL U21 logo
RAAL LL U21
PPG 1.45 · HOME
3 – 0
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5
Beerschot U21 logo
Beerschot U21
PPG 0.55 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 5.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.5%0-11.0%0-21.2%0-30.9%0-4+0.8%1 1-01.5%1-13.3%1-23.6%1-32.7%1-4+2.5%2 2-02.3%2-15.1%2-25.7%2-34.2%2-4+4.0%3 3-02.4%3-15.4%3-26.0%3-34.4%3-4+4.2%4+ 4+-04.1%4+-19.2%4+-210.2%4+-37.6%4+-4+7.2%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 51.6%
Draw 22.2%
Away win 26.2%
Over 2.5 78.8%
Over 3.5 78.3%
BTTS 66.7%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 18 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 78%
O2.5 94%
BTTS 67%
Score Hit 33%
ROI 41.4%
Bet Hit 100%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 64%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 3-0
xG (home)3.1 xG (away)2.2 BTTS prob66.7%

H 52% / xG 3.1-2.2 / O2.5 79% / BTTS 67%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–2 6.0%
#2 2–2 5.7%
#3 3–1 5.4%
#4 2–1 5.1%
#5 4–2 4.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

RAAL LL U213.1
Beerschot U212.2

COMBINED 5.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 78.8% · O3.5 PROB 78.3%

Form & verdict PPG

RAAL LL U21 · PPG 1.45

BEERSCHOT U21 · PPG 0.55

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.45) vs P(Home)=51.6%

Win probability 1X2

RAAL LL U21 (H) 51.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 22.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Beerschot U21 (A) 26.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

RAAL LL U21 face Beerschot U21 in Belgium - Reserve Pro League on Friday, May 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives RAAL LL U21 a 52% chance, the draw 22% and Beerschot U21 26%, so RAAL LL U21 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.1 for RAAL LL U21 and 2.2 for Beerschot U21 (5.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-2. There is a 79% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, RAAL LL U21 are averaging 1.45 points per game versus 0.55 for Beerschot U21. This match finished 3-0.

PredictVantage

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