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Waasland-B. U21 vs F. Borains U21 Prediction— Belgium - Reserve Pro League

Regular Season - 26 ·Friday, May 1, 2026, 13:00

Waasland-B. U21

PPG 1.27 · HOME

5 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

F. Borains U21

PPG 0.55 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.1%0-11.7%0-21.2%0-30.6%0-4+0.3%1 1-03.4%1-15.1%1-23.7%1-31.8%1-4+0.9%2 2-05.1%2-17.6%2-25.6%2-32.8%2-4+1.4%3 3-05.1%3-17.6%3-25.6%3-32.7%3-4+1.4%4+ 4+-08.0%4+-111.9%4+-28.8%4+-34.3%4+-4+2.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 67.5% — — —

Draw 17.0% — — —

Away win 15.5% — — —

Over 2.5 82.3% — — —

Over 3.5 65.3% — — —

BTTS 74.1% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 18 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 78%

O2.5 94%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 33%

ROI 41.4%

Bet Hit 100%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 74%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 5-1

xG (home)3.0 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob74.1%

H 68% / xG 3.0-1.5 / O2.5 82% / BTTS 74%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 7.6%

#2 3–1 7.6%

#3 1–1 5.1%

#4 4–1 5.7%

#5 2–2 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Waasland-B. U213.0

F. Borains U211.5

COMBINED 4.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 82.3% · O3.5 PROB 65.3%

Form & verdict PPG

WAASLAND-B. U21 · PPG 1.27

F. BORAINS U21 · PPG 0.55

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.27) > Away POOR (0.55)

Win probability 1X2

Waasland-B. U21 (H) 67.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 17.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

F. Borains U21 (A) 15.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Waasland-B. U21 face F. Borains U21 in Belgium - Reserve Pro League on Friday, May 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Waasland-B. U21 a 68% chance, the draw 17% and F. Borains U21 16%, so Waasland-B. U21 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.0 for Waasland-B. U21 and 1.5 for F. Borains U21 (4.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 82% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 74% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Waasland-B. U21 are averaging 1.27 points per game versus 0.55 for F. Borains U21. This match finished 5-1.

Waasland-B. U21 vs F. Borains U21 Prediction— Belgium - Reserve Pro League

Match Preview & Prediction

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