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Belgium - Reserve Pro League logo Belgium flag Belgium - Reserve Pro League Regular Season - 25 Friday, May 8, 2026 18:30
Westerlo U21 logo Westerlo U21 PPG 2.36
2-2 HIT CS3
Lierse K. U21 logo Lierse K. U21 PPG 1.45
Over3.5· +26.5% ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
80% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 51.6%
Odds: 1.57 EV: -19.0%
Draw 22.2%
Odds: 5.00 EV: +6.6%
Away 26.2%
Odds: 3.60 EV: -3.4%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 69.8% Odds: 1.33 -7.2%
Over 3.5 65.2% Odds: 1.94 +26.5%
BTTS 63.0% Odds: 1.41 -11.2%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1
2nd 3-1
3rd 2-2
4th 1-1
5th 3-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Westerlo U21
2.84
Lierse K. U21
1.63

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -7.2% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-7.2%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
80%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.36) vs P(Home)=51.6%

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