Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw
✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 69.8% Odds: 1.33 -7.2%
Over 3.5 65.2% Odds: 1.94 +26.5%
BTTS 63.0% Odds: 1.41 -11.2%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 2-1 ✘
2nd 3-1 ✘
3rd 2-2 ✔
4th 1-1 ✘
5th 3-2 ✘
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 -7.2% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-7.2%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.
Verdict & Form
✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.36) vs P(Home)=51.6%