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P. Eisden U21 vs RAAL LL U21 Prediction— Belgium - Reserve Pro League

Regular Season - 26 ·Friday, May 15, 2026, 18:00

P. Eisden U21

PPG 1.18 · HOME

1 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

RAAL LL U21

PPG 1.82 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 64.8% vs bookmaker-implied 74.1%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.5%0-13.4%0-23.8%0-32.8%0-4+2.7%1 1-03.0%1-16.7%1-27.4%1-35.5%1-4+5.2%2 2-02.9%2-16.5%2-27.2%2-35.4%2-4+5.0%3 3-01.9%3-14.2%3-24.7%3-33.5%3-4+3.3%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-13.2%4+-23.6%4+-32.6%4+-4+2.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.1% 36.4% 2.75 -0.7%

Draw 23.6% 30.3% 3.30 -13.3%

Away win 40.2% 46.5% 2.15 -13.6%

Over 2.5 63.3% 71.4% 1.40 -11.4%

Over 3.5 60.0% 52.6% 1.90 +14.0%

BTTS 64.8% 74.1% 1.35 -12.5%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 18 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 78%

O2.5 94%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 33%

ROI 41.4%

Bet Hit 100%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 3 47%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-3

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)2.2 BTTS prob64.8%

A 40% / xG 1.9-2.2 / O2.5 63% / BTTS 65%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 6.7%

#2 1–2 7.4%

#3 2–2 7.2%

#4 2–1 6.5%

#5 1–3✓ 5.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

P. Eisden U211.9

RAAL LL U212.2

COMBINED 4.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.3% · O3.5 PROB 60.0%

Form & verdict PPG

P. EISDEN U21 · PPG 1.18

RAAL LL U21 · PPG 1.82

✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

90%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.82) vs Home AVERAGE (1.18)

Win probability 1X2

P. Eisden U21 (H) 36.1%

ODDS 2.75 · IMPLIED 36.4% EV -0.7%

Draw 23.6%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -13.3%

RAAL LL U21 (A) 40.2%

ODDS 2.15 · IMPLIED 46.5% EV -13.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

P. Eisden U21 face RAAL LL U21 in Belgium - Reserve Pro League on Friday, May 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives P. Eisden U21 a 36% chance, the draw 24% and RAAL LL U21 40%, so RAAL LL U21 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for P. Eisden U21 and 2.2 for RAAL LL U21 (4.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 65% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, P. Eisden U21 are averaging 1.18 points per game versus 1.82 for RAAL LL U21. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +14.0%. This match finished 1-3.

P. Eisden U21 vs RAAL LL U21 Prediction— Belgium - Reserve Pro League

Match Preview & Prediction

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