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Kortrijk U21 vs P. Eisden U21 Prediction— Belgium - Reserve Pro League

Regular Season - 25 ·Friday, May 8, 2026, 18:30

Kortrijk U21

PPG 2.00 · HOME

5 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

P. Eisden U21

PPG 1.18 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 69.8% vs bookmaker-implied 75.2%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.3%0-11.6%0-21.0%0-30.4%0-4+0.2%1 1-03.9%1-15.0%1-23.2%1-31.4%1-4+0.6%2 2-06.0%2-17.7%2-24.9%2-32.1%2-4+0.9%3 3-06.2%3-18.0%3-25.1%3-32.2%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-010.4%4+-113.3%4+-28.5%4+-33.6%4+-4+1.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 59.5% 71.4% 1.40 -16.7%

Draw 21.2% 20.0% 5.00 +3.6%

Away win 19.3% 20.0% 5.00 -2.1%

Over 2.5 69.8% 75.2% 1.33 -7.2%

Over 3.5 63.7% 54.1% 1.85 +17.8%

BTTS 62.5% 69.4% 1.44 -10.0%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 18 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 78%

O2.5 94%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 33%

ROI 41.4%

Bet Hit 100%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 64%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 5-0

xG (home)3.1 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob62.5%

H 60% / xG 3.1-1.3 / O2.5 70% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–1 8.0%

#2 2–1 7.7%

#3 3–0 6.2%

#4 4–1 6.2%

#5 2–0 6.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kortrijk U213.1

P. Eisden U211.3

COMBINED 4.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 69.8% · O3.5 PROB 63.7%

Form & verdict PPG

KORTRIJK U21 · PPG 2.00

P. EISDEN U21 · PPG 1.18

✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

80%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=59.5%

Win probability 1X2

Kortrijk U21 (H) 59.5%

ODDS 1.40 · IMPLIED 71.4% EV -16.7%

Draw 21.2%

ODDS 5.00 · IMPLIED 20.0% EV +3.6%

P. Eisden U21 (A) 19.3%

ODDS 5.00 · IMPLIED 20.0% EV -2.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Kortrijk U21 face P. Eisden U21 in Belgium - Reserve Pro League on Friday, May 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kortrijk U21 a 60% chance, the draw 21% and P. Eisden U21 19%, so Kortrijk U21 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.1 for Kortrijk U21 and 1.3 for P. Eisden U21 (4.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 70% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kortrijk U21 are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.18 for P. Eisden U21. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +17.8%. This match finished 5-0.

Kortrijk U21 vs P. Eisden U21 Prediction— Belgium - Reserve Pro League

Match Preview & Prediction

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