Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 69.8% Odds: 1.33 -7.2%
Over 3.5 63.7% Odds: 1.85 +17.8%
BTTS 62.5% Odds: 1.44 -10.0%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 3-1 ✘
2nd 2-1 ✘
3rd 3-0 ✘
4th 4-1 ✘
5th 2-0 ✘
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 -7.2% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-7.2%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.
Verdict & Form
✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=59.5%