Today / Kirsehir B. vs Osmaniyespor

Kirsehir B. vs Osmaniyespor Prediction

Group 2 - 30 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 11:00

Kirsehir B. logo
Kirsehir B.
PPG 1.21 · HOME
0 – 2
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME
Osmaniyespor logo
Osmaniyespor
PPG 0.86 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.21) > Away POOR (0.86)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.5%0-16.4%0-23.2%0-31.1%0-4+0.3%1 1-011.3%1-111.2%1-25.6%1-31.8%1-4+0.6%2 2-09.9%2-19.8%2-24.9%2-31.6%2-4+0.5%3 3-05.7%3-15.7%3-22.8%3-30.9%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-03.7%4+-13.7%4+-21.8%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.2%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 55.1%
Draw 23.6%
Away win 21.3%
Over 2.5 51.6%
Over 3.5 29.5%
BTTS 52.0%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 35%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 0-2
xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob52.0%

H 55% / xG 1.7-1.0 / O2.5 52% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 11.3%
#2 1–1 11.2%
#3 2–0 9.9%
#4 2–1 9.8%
#5 0–0 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kirsehir B.1.7
Osmaniyespor1.0

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 51.6% · O3.5 PROB 29.5%

Form & verdict PPG

KIRSEHIR B. · PPG 1.21

OSMANIYESPOR · PPG 0.86

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.21) > Away POOR (0.86)

Win probability 1X2

Kirsehir B. (H) 55.1%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 23.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Osmaniyespor (A) 21.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Kirsehir B. face Osmaniyespor on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kirsehir B. a 55% chance, the draw 24% and Osmaniyespor 21%, so Kirsehir B. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Kirsehir B. and 1.0 for Osmaniyespor (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kirsehir B. are averaging 1.21 points per game versus 0.86 for Osmaniyespor. This match finished 0-2.

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