Today / Kirikkale B. vs Karakopru

Kirikkale B. vs Karakopru Prediction

Group 2 - 30 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 11:00

Kirikkale B.

PPG 1.43 · HOME

3 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Karakopru

PPG 1.14 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.43), Away AVERAGE (1.14)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.9%0-16.9%0-24.0%0-31.6%0-4+0.6%1 1-09.8%1-111.5%1-26.7%1-32.6%1-4+1.0%2 2-08.1%2-19.5%2-25.6%2-32.2%2-4+0.8%3 3-04.5%3-15.3%3-23.1%3-31.2%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-02.7%4+-13.2%4+-21.9%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.8% — — —

Draw 24.3% — — —

Away win 26.9% — — —

Over 2.5 53.8% — — —

Over 3.5 31.5% — — —

BTTS 55.9% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 38%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-2

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob55.9%

H 49% / xG 1.7-1.2 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.5%

#2 1–0 9.8%

#3 2–1 9.5%

#4 2–0 8.1%

#5 0–1 6.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kirikkale B.1.7

Karakopru1.2

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.8% · O3.5 PROB 31.5%

Form & verdict PPG

KIRIKKALE B. · PPG 1.43

KARAKOPRU · PPG 1.14

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.43), Away AVERAGE (1.14)

Win probability 1X2

Kirikkale B. (H) 48.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Karakopru (A) 26.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Kirikkale B. face Karakopru on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kirikkale B. a 49% chance, the draw 24% and Karakopru 27%, so Kirikkale B. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Kirikkale B. and 1.2 for Karakopru (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kirikkale B. are averaging 1.43 points per game versus 1.14 for Karakopru. This match finished 3-2.

Kirikkale B. vs Karakopru Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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