Today / Jeddah vs Al Orubah

Jeddah vs Al Orubah Prediction

Friday, May 8, 2026

Jeddah

PPG 0.81 · HOME

UPCOMING

Al Orubah

PPG 2.19 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.19) vs Home POOR (0.81)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.2%0-113.1%0-210.6%0-35.7%0-4+3.3%1 1-07.3%1-111.8%1-29.5%1-35.1%1-4+2.9%2 2-03.3%2-15.3%2-24.2%2-32.3%2-4+1.3%3 3-01.0%3-11.6%3-21.3%3-30.7%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.4%4+-20.3%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 24.5% — — —

Draw 27.1% — — —

Away win 48.4% — — —

Over 2.5 46.5% — — —

Over 3.5 24.4% — — —

BTTS 52.3% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 25%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob52.3%

A 48% / xG 0.9-1.6 / O2.5 46% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.8%

#2 0–1 13.1%

#3 0–2 10.6%

#4 0–0 8.2%

#5 1–2 9.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Jeddah0.9

Al Orubah1.6

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.5% · O3.5 PROB 24.4%

Form & verdict PPG

JEDDAH · PPG 0.81

AL ORUBAH · PPG 2.19

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.19) vs Home POOR (0.81)

Win probability 1X2

Jeddah (H) 24.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Al Orubah (A) 48.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Jeddah face Al Orubah on Friday, May 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Jeddah a 25% chance, the draw 27% and Al Orubah 48%, so Al Orubah are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Jeddah and 1.6 for Al Orubah (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Jeddah are averaging 0.81 points per game versus 2.19 for Al Orubah.

Jeddah vs Al Orubah Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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