Today / Al Zulfi vs Al Raed

Al Zulfi vs Al Raed Prediction

Friday, May 8, 2026

Al Zulfi

PPG 1.25 · HOME

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Al Raed

PPG 1.25 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.25), Away AVERAGE (1.25)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.9%0-19.5%0-26.5%0-33.0%0-4+1.4%1 1-09.0%1-112.3%1-28.5%1-33.9%1-4+1.8%2 2-05.8%2-18.0%2-25.5%2-32.5%2-4+1.2%3 3-02.5%3-13.5%3-22.4%3-31.1%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-11.5%4+-21.0%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.9% — — —

Draw 26.9% — — —

Away win 36.2% — — —

Over 2.5 52.8% — — —

Over 3.5 27.9% — — —

BTTS 54.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 26%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob54.6%

A 36% / xG 1.3-1.4 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.3%

#2 0–0 6.9%

#3 1–2 8.5%

#4 2–1 8.0%

#5 0–1 9.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Al Zulfi1.3

Al Raed1.4

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.8% · O3.5 PROB 27.9%

Form & verdict PPG

AL ZULFI · PPG 1.25

AL RAED · PPG 1.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.25), Away AVERAGE (1.25)

Win probability 1X2

Al Zulfi (H) 36.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Al Raed (A) 36.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Zulfi face Al Raed on Friday, May 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Zulfi a 37% chance, the draw 27% and Al Raed 36%, so Al Zulfi are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Al Zulfi and 1.4 for Al Raed (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Zulfi are averaging 1.25 points per game versus 1.25 for Al Raed. This match finished 0-2.

Al Zulfi vs Al Raed Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

More Football Predictions