Today / Al Jubail vs Al Ula

Al Jubail vs Al Ula Prediction

Friday, May 8, 2026

Al Jubail

PPG 0.81 · HOME

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

Al Ula

PPG 2.06 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.06) vs Home POOR (0.81)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.8%0-19.6%0-212.2%0-310.3%0-4+12.1%1 1-02.8%1-17.0%1-29.0%1-37.6%1-4+8.9%2 2-01.0%2-12.6%2-23.3%2-32.8%2-4+3.3%3 3-00.2%3-10.6%3-20.8%3-30.7%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.1%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 12.8% — — —

Draw 21.6% — — —

Away win 65.6% — — —

Over 2.5 60.2% — — —

Over 3.5 41.6% — — —

BTTS 52.3% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 49%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)2.5 BTTS prob52.3%

A 66% / xG 0.7-2.5 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2✓ 12.2%

#2 0–3 10.3%

#3 1–2 9.0%

#4 0–1 9.6%

#5 1–1 7.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Al Jubail0.7

Al Ula2.5

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.2% · O3.5 PROB 41.6%

Form & verdict PPG

AL JUBAIL · PPG 0.81

AL ULA · PPG 2.06

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.06) vs Home POOR (0.81)

Win probability 1X2

Al Jubail (H) 12.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Al Ula (A) 65.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Jubail face Al Ula on Friday, May 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Jubail a 13% chance, the draw 22% and Al Ula 66%, so Al Ula are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Al Jubail and 2.5 for Al Ula (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Jubail are averaging 0.81 points per game versus 2.06 for Al Ula. This match finished 0-2.

Al Jubail vs Al Ula Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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