Today / Al Jabalain vs Al Arabi

Al Jabalain vs Al Arabi Prediction

Friday, May 8, 2026

Al Jabalain

PPG 1.88 · HOME

3 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Al Arabi

PPG 0.44 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.88) vs P(Home)=62.1%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.2%0-13.5%0-21.2%0-30.3%0-4+0.1%1 1-011.8%1-18.0%1-22.7%1-30.6%1-4+0.1%2 2-013.5%2-19.1%2-23.1%2-30.7%2-4+0.1%3 3-010.3%3-17.0%3-22.3%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-010.1%4+-16.8%4+-22.3%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 62.1% — — —

Draw 22.7% — — —

Away win 15.2% — — —

Over 2.5 59.3% — — —

Over 3.5 34.4% — — —

BTTS 51.0% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 51%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)2.3 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob51.0%

H 62% / xG 2.3-0.7 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 51%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 13.5%

#2 1–0 11.8%

#3 3–0✓ 10.3%

#4 1–1 8.0%

#5 2–1 9.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Al Jabalain2.3

Al Arabi0.7

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.3% · O3.5 PROB 34.4%

Form & verdict PPG

AL JABALAIN · PPG 1.88

AL ARABI · PPG 0.44

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.88) vs P(Home)=62.1%

Win probability 1X2

Al Jabalain (H) 62.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Al Arabi (A) 15.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Jabalain face Al Arabi on Friday, May 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Jabalain a 62% chance, the draw 23% and Al Arabi 15%, so Al Jabalain are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Al Jabalain and 0.7 for Al Arabi (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Jabalain are averaging 1.88 points per game versus 0.44 for Al Arabi. This match finished 3-0.

Al Jabalain vs Al Arabi Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

More Football Predictions