Today / Al Bukayriyah vs Al Faisaly

Al Bukayriyah vs Al Faisaly Prediction

Friday, May 8, 2026

Al Bukayriyah

PPG 1.44 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Al Faisaly

PPG 2.19 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.19) vs Home AVERAGE (1.44)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.4%0-111.6%0-210.5%0-36.3%0-4+4.3%1 1-06.0%1-110.9%1-29.8%1-35.9%1-4+4.0%2 2-02.8%2-15.1%2-24.6%2-32.8%2-4+1.9%3 3-00.9%3-11.6%3-21.4%3-30.9%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.5%4+-20.4%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 22.5% — — —

Draw 25.0% — — —

Away win 52.5% — — —

Over 2.5 53.1% — — —

Over 3.5 29.5% — — —

BTTS 53.3% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 36%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob53.3%

A 52% / xG 0.9-1.8 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.9%

#2 0–2 10.5%

#3 0–1 11.6%

#4 1–2 9.8%

#5 0–0 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Al Bukayriyah0.9

Al Faisaly1.8

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.1% · O3.5 PROB 29.5%

Form & verdict PPG

AL BUKAYRIYAH · PPG 1.44

AL FAISALY · PPG 2.19

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.19) vs Home AVERAGE (1.44)

Win probability 1X2

Al Bukayriyah (H) 22.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Al Faisaly (A) 52.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Bukayriyah face Al Faisaly on Friday, May 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Bukayriyah a 23% chance, the draw 25% and Al Faisaly 53%, so Al Faisaly are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Al Bukayriyah and 1.8 for Al Faisaly (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Bukayriyah are averaging 1.44 points per game versus 2.19 for Al Faisaly. This match finished 1-0.

Al Bukayriyah vs Al Faisaly Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

More Football Predictions