Today / Al Batin vs Al Tai

Al Batin vs Al Tai Prediction

Friday, May 8, 2026

Al Batin
PPG 0.75 · HOME
2 – 0
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5
Al Tai
PPG 1.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.9 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.3%0-19.2%0-27.9%0-34.6%0-4+2.9%1 1-06.4%1-111.1%1-29.6%1-35.5%1-4+3.5%2 2-03.9%2-16.7%2-25.8%2-33.3%2-4+2.1%3 3-01.6%3-12.7%3-22.3%3-31.3%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-11.1%4+-20.9%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.3%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 27.6%
Draw 27.0%
Away win 45.4%
Over 2.5 59.3%
Over 3.5 33.8%
BTTS 58.8%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 46%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 2-0
xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob58.8%

A 45% / xG 1.2-1.7 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.1%
#2 1–2 9.6%
#3 0–2 7.9%
#4 0–1 9.2%
#5 0–0 5.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Al Batin1.2
Al Tai1.7

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.3% · O3.5 PROB 33.8%

Form & verdict PPG

AL BATIN · PPG 0.75

AL TAI · PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.50) vs Home POOR (0.75)

Win probability 1X2

Al Batin (H) 27.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 27.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Al Tai (A) 45.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Batin face Al Tai on Friday, May 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Batin a 28% chance, the draw 27% and Al Tai 45%, so Al Tai are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Al Batin and 1.7 for Al Tai (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Batin are averaging 0.75 points per game versus 1.50 for Al Tai. This match finished 2-0.

PredictVantage

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