Today / Abha vs Al Adalha

Abha vs Al Adalha Prediction

Friday, May 8, 2026

Abha

PPG 2.44 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Al Adalha

PPG 0.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.44), Away POOR (0.75) - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.6%0-12.1%0-20.8%0-30.2%0-4+0.1%1 1-07.5%1-16.0%1-22.4%1-30.6%1-4+0.1%2 2-010.6%2-18.5%2-23.4%2-30.9%2-4+0.2%3 3-010.0%3-18.0%3-23.2%3-30.9%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-014.3%4+-111.4%4+-24.5%4+-31.2%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 67.8% — — —

Draw 22.8% — — —

Away win 9.4% — — —

Over 2.5 61.7% — — —

Over 3.5 49.2% — — —

BTTS 53.8% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 60%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)2.8 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob53.8%

H 68% / xG 2.8-0.8 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 54%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 10.6%

#2 3–0 10.0%

#3 2–1 8.5%

#4 3–1 8.0%

#5 4–0 7.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Abha2.8

Al Adalha0.8

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.7% · O3.5 PROB 49.2%

Form & verdict PPG

ABHA · PPG 2.44

AL ADALHA · PPG 0.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.44), Away POOR (0.75) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Abha (H) 67.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Al Adalha (A) 9.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Abha face Al Adalha on Friday, May 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Abha a 68% chance, the draw 23% and Al Adalha 9%, so Abha are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.8 for Abha and 0.8 for Al Adalha (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Abha are averaging 2.44 points per game versus 0.75 for Al Adalha. This match finished 1-0.

Abha vs Al Adalha Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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