Today / Suvermez vs Agri 1970

Suvermez vs Agri 1970 Prediction

Saturday, April 18, 2026

Suvermez

PPG 1.36 · HOME

2 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

Agri 1970

PPG 1.29 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.36), Away AVERAGE (1.29)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.2%0-110.7%0-29.3%0-35.4%0-4+3.5%1 1-06.5%1-111.2%1-29.8%1-35.7%1-4+3.6%2 2-03.4%2-15.9%2-25.1%2-33.0%2-4+1.9%3 3-01.2%3-12.1%3-21.8%3-31.0%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.7%4+-20.6%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 22.7% — — —

Draw 23.7% — — —

Away win 53.6% — — —

Over 2.5 52.7% — — —

Over 3.5 30.5% — — —

BTTS 53.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 38%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-3

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob53.5%

A 54% / xG 1.0-1.7 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 54%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.2%

#2 0–1 10.7%

#3 1–2 9.8%

#4 0–2 9.3%

#5 1–0 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Suvermez1.0

Agri 19701.7

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.7% · O3.5 PROB 30.5%

Form & verdict PPG

SUVERMEZ · PPG 1.36

AGRI 1970 · PPG 1.29

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.36), Away AVERAGE (1.29)

Win probability 1X2

Suvermez (H) 22.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Agri 1970 (A) 53.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Suvermez face Agri 1970 on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Suvermez a 23% chance, the draw 24% and Agri 1970 54%, so Agri 1970 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Suvermez and 1.7 for Agri 1970 (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Suvermez are averaging 1.36 points per game versus 1.29 for Agri 1970. This match finished 2-3.

Suvermez vs Agri 1970 Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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