Today / Diyarbekirspor vs Kahramanmar.

Diyarbekirspor vs Kahramanmar. Prediction

Group 2 - 30 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 11:00

Diyarbekirspor

PPG 1.29 · HOME

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

Kahramanmar.

PPG 1.14 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.29), Away AVERAGE (1.14)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.7%0-17.3%0-23.5%0-31.1%0-4+0.3%1 1-012.4%1-111.8%1-25.6%1-31.8%1-4+0.5%2 2-010.0%2-19.5%2-24.5%2-31.4%2-4+0.4%3 3-05.4%3-15.1%3-22.4%3-30.8%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-03.1%4+-13.0%4+-21.4%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 52.9% — — —

Draw 24.9% — — —

Away win 22.2% — — —

Over 2.5 47.3% — — —

Over 3.5 25.7% — — —

BTTS 49.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 28%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob49.2%

H 53% / xG 1.6-1.0 / O2.5 47% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 12.4%

#2 1–1 11.8%

#3 2–0 10.0%

#4 2–1 9.5%

#5 0–0 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Diyarbekirspor1.6

Kahramanmar.1.0

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 47.3% · O3.5 PROB 25.7%

Form & verdict PPG

DIYARBEKIRSPOR · PPG 1.29

KAHRAMANMAR. · PPG 1.14

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.29), Away AVERAGE (1.14)

Win probability 1X2

Diyarbekirspor (H) 52.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Kahramanmar. (A) 22.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Diyarbekirspor face Kahramanmar. on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Diyarbekirspor a 53% chance, the draw 25% and Kahramanmar. 22%, so Diyarbekirspor are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Diyarbekirspor and 1.0 for Kahramanmar. (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Diyarbekirspor are averaging 1.29 points per game versus 1.14 for Kahramanmar.. This match finished 2-2.

Diyarbekirspor vs Kahramanmar. Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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