Today / Germany - Regionalliga - Nord / Drochtersen.A. vs Meppen

Drochtersen.A. vs Meppen Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - Nord

North - 33 ·Friday, May 8, 2026, 17:30

Drochtersen.A. logo
Drochtersen.A.
PPG 2.63 · HOME
1 – 2
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS
Meppen logo
Meppen
PPG 2.44 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.63), Away EXCELLENT (2.44)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.5%0-13.4%0-24.0%0-33.2%0-4+3.3%1 1-02.7%1-16.4%1-27.6%1-36.0%1-4+6.1%2 2-02.5%2-16.0%2-27.1%2-35.6%2-4+5.7%3 3-01.6%3-13.8%3-24.4%3-33.5%3-4+3.6%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-12.7%4+-23.2%4+-32.5%4+-4+2.6%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 34.4%
Draw 23.4%
Away win 42.2%
Over 2.5 64.7%
Over 3.5 61.0%
BTTS 65.1%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%
O2.5 73%
BTTS 77%
Score Hit 50%
ROI 3.3%
Bet Hit 72%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 3 51%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 1-2
xG (home)1.9 xG (away)2.4 BTTS prob65.1%

A 42% / xG 1.9-2.4 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 65%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 7.6%
#2 1–1 6.4%
#3 2–2 7.1%
#4 2–1 6.0%
#5 1–3 6.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Drochtersen.A.1.9
Meppen2.4

COMBINED 4.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.7% · O3.5 PROB 61.0%

Form & verdict PPG

DROCHTERSEN.A. · PPG 2.63

MEPPEN · PPG 2.44

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.63), Away EXCELLENT (2.44)

Win probability 1X2

Drochtersen.A. (H) 34.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 23.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Meppen (A) 42.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Drochtersen.A. face Meppen in Germany - Regionalliga - Nord on Friday, May 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Drochtersen.A. a 34% chance, the draw 23% and Meppen 42%, so Meppen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Drochtersen.A. and 2.4 for Meppen (4.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 65% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Drochtersen.A. are averaging 2.63 points per game versus 2.44 for Meppen. This match finished 1-2.

PredictVantage

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