Today / Vozdovac vs Vrsac

Vozdovac vs Vrsac Prediction

Friday, May 8, 2026

Vozdovac
PPG 1.88 · HOME
5 – 2
FULL TIME
Vrsac
PPG 1.12 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-015.4%0-19.4%0-22.9%0-30.6%0-4+0.1%1 1-019.3%1-111.9%1-23.7%1-30.7%1-4+0.1%2 2-012.2%2-17.5%2-22.3%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-05.1%3-13.1%3-21.0%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-02.1%4+-11.3%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 49.7%
Draw 28.3%
Away win 22.0%
Over 2.5 35.1%
Over 3.5 12.1%
BTTS 45.9%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 45%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 5-2
xG (home)1.3 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob45.9%

H 50% / xG 1.3-0.6 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 19.3%
#2 0–0 15.4%
#3 1–1 11.9%
#4 2–0 12.2%
#5 0–1 9.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Vozdovac1.3
Vrsac0.6

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.1% · O3.5 PROB 12.1%

Form & verdict PPG

VOZDOVAC · PPG 1.88

VRSAC · PPG 1.12

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.88) > Away AVERAGE (1.12)

Win probability 1X2

Vozdovac (H) 49.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 28.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Vrsac (A) 22.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Vozdovac face Vrsac on Friday, May 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vozdovac a 50% chance, the draw 28% and Vrsac 22%, so Vozdovac are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Vozdovac and 0.6 for Vrsac (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vozdovac are averaging 1.88 points per game versus 1.12 for Vrsac. This match finished 5-2.

PredictVantage

Free daily football predictions across 240+ leagues. A Poisson-based model analyses team form, attack and defence strength, and live bookmaker odds to surface value bets — updated every day, graded every night.

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