Today / T. Wilhelmsburg vs Halstenbek-R.
T. Wilhelmsburg vs Halstenbek-R. Prediction
Friday, May 8, 2026
// Model verdict
Over 3.5
Combined xG of 5.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line.
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
H 52% / xG 3.2-2.2 / O2.5 79% / BTTS 67%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 5.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 78.8% · O3.5 PROB 79.0%
Form & verdict
T. WILHELMSBURG · PPG 0.93
HALSTENBEK-R. · PPG 0.25
Home slight advantage: POOR (0.93) > Away POOR (0.25)
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
T. Wilhelmsburg face Halstenbek-R. on Friday, May 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives T. Wilhelmsburg a 52% chance, the draw 22% and Halstenbek-R. 26%, so T. Wilhelmsburg are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.2 for T. Wilhelmsburg and 2.2 for Halstenbek-R. (5.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-2. There is a 79% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, T. Wilhelmsburg are averaging 0.93 points per game versus 0.25 for Halstenbek-R..