Today / Modern Sport vs Al Ittihad

Modern Sport vs Al Ittihad Prediction

Friday, May 8, 2026

Modern Sport

PPG 1.07 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

Al Ittihad

PPG 0.73 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-019.8%0-113.8%0-24.8%0-31.1%0-4+0.2%1 1-018.2%1-112.7%1-24.5%1-31.0%1-4+0.2%2 2-08.4%2-15.9%2-22.1%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-02.6%3-11.8%3-20.6%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-10.5%4+-20.2%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.0% — — —

Draw 35.7% — — —

Away win 26.3% — — —

Over 2.5 35.1% — — —

Over 3.5 8.2% — — —

BTTS 45.9% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 34%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob45.9%

H 38% / xG 0.9-0.7 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0✓ 19.8%

#2 1–0 18.2%

#3 1–1 12.7%

#4 0–1 13.8%

#5 2–0 8.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Modern Sport0.9

Al Ittihad0.7

COMBINED 1.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.1% · O3.5 PROB 8.2%

Form & verdict PPG

MODERN SPORT · PPG 1.07

AL ITTIHAD · PPG 0.73

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.07) > Away POOR (0.73)

Win probability 1X2

Modern Sport (H) 38.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 35.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Al Ittihad (A) 26.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Modern Sport face Al Ittihad on Friday, May 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Modern Sport a 38% chance, the draw 36% and Al Ittihad 26%, so Modern Sport are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Modern Sport and 0.7 for Al Ittihad (1.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Modern Sport are averaging 1.07 points per game versus 0.73 for Al Ittihad. This match finished 0-0.

Modern Sport vs Al Ittihad Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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