Today / Marchfeld vs Traiskirchen

Marchfeld vs Traiskirchen Prediction

Friday, May 8, 2026

Marchfeld
PPG 1.92 · HOME
0 – 0
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5
Traiskirchen
PPG 1.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.4%0-15.2%0-24.1%0-32.1%0-4+1.2%1 1-06.2%1-19.6%1-27.5%1-33.9%1-4+2.1%2 2-05.7%2-18.8%2-26.9%2-33.6%2-4+2.0%3 3-03.5%3-15.4%3-24.2%3-32.2%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-02.4%4+-13.8%4+-22.9%4+-31.5%4+-4+0.8%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 42.3%
Draw 25.6%
Away win 32.0%
Over 2.5 61.6%
Over 3.5 44.0%
BTTS 59.3%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 42%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 0-0
xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob59.3%

H 42% / xG 1.8-1.6 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.6%
#2 2–1 8.8%
#3 1–2 7.5%
#4 2–2 6.9%
#5 2–0 5.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Marchfeld1.8
Traiskirchen1.6

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.6% · O3.5 PROB 44.0%

Form & verdict PPG

MARCHFELD · PPG 1.92

TRAISKIRCHEN · PPG 1.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.92) > Away AVERAGE (1.33)

Win probability 1X2

Marchfeld (H) 42.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 25.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Traiskirchen (A) 32.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Marchfeld face Traiskirchen on Friday, May 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Marchfeld a 42% chance, the draw 26% and Traiskirchen 32%, so Marchfeld are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Marchfeld and 1.6 for Traiskirchen (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Marchfeld are averaging 1.92 points per game versus 1.33 for Traiskirchen. This match finished 0-0.

PredictVantage

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