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Ekranas vs Kauno Z. B Prediction— Lithuania - 1 Lyga

Regular Season - 9 ·Friday, May 8, 2026, 16:00

Ekranas

PPG 0.00 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Kauno Z. B

PPG 0.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.3% vs bookmaker-implied 63.3%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.1%0-110.4%0-25.3%0-31.8%0-4+0.6%1 1-012.8%1-113.1%1-26.7%1-32.3%1-4+0.7%2 2-08.1%2-18.3%2-24.2%2-31.4%2-4+0.5%3 3-03.4%3-13.5%3-21.8%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-11.5%4+-20.7%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.7% 47.2% 2.12 -7.4%

Draw 29.2% 29.9% 3.35 -1.3%

Away win 27.1% 33.9% 2.95 -12.0%

Over 2.5 46.0% 58.8% 1.70 -21.8%

Over 3.5 19.8% 36.4% 2.75 -27.3%

BTTS 52.3% 63.3% 1.58 -17.4%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 32 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 47%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 53%

ROI -27.7%

Bet Hit 48%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 27%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob52.3%

H 44% / xG 1.3-1.0 / U2.5 46% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.1%

#2 0–0 10.1%

#3 1–0✓ 12.8%

#4 0–1 10.4%

#5 2–1 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ekranas1.3

Kauno Z. B1.0

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.0% · O3.5 PROB 19.8%

Form & verdict PPG

EKRANAS · PPG 0.00

KAUNO Z. B · PPG 0.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

40%

NEUTRAL

No PPG data

Win probability 1X2

Ekranas (H) 43.7%

ODDS 2.12 · IMPLIED 47.2% EV -7.4%

Draw 29.2%

ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV -1.3%

Kauno Z. B (A) 27.1%

ODDS 2.95 · IMPLIED 33.9% EV -12.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Ekranas face Kauno Z. B in Lithuania - 1 Lyga on Friday, May 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ekranas a 44% chance, the draw 29% and Kauno Z. B 27%, so Ekranas are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Ekranas and 1.0 for Kauno Z. B (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ekranas are averaging 0.00 points per game versus 0.00 for Kauno Z. B. This match finished 1-0.

Ekranas vs Kauno Z. B Prediction— Lithuania - 1 Lyga

Match Preview & Prediction

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