Today / Bregenz vs Austria Wien B

Bregenz vs Austria Wien B Prediction

Friday, May 8, 2026

Bregenz
PPG 0.92 · HOME
2 – 2
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS
Austria Wien B
PPG 1.46 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.46) vs Home POOR (0.92)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.0%0-19.2%0-27.0%0-33.6%0-4+1.9%1 1-07.7%1-111.8%1-29.0%1-34.6%1-4+2.5%2 2-04.9%2-17.6%2-25.8%2-32.9%2-4+1.6%3 3-02.1%3-13.2%3-22.5%3-31.3%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-11.4%4+-21.0%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.3%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 34.5%
Draw 25.1%
Away win 40.4%
Over 2.5 53.1%
Over 3.5 31.0%
BTTS 56.1%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 31%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 2-2
xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob56.1%

A 40% / xG 1.3-1.5 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.8%
#2 1–2 9.0%
#3 0–0 6.0%
#4 2–1 7.6%
#5 0–1 9.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bregenz1.3
Austria Wien B1.5

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.1% · O3.5 PROB 31.0%

Form & verdict PPG

BREGENZ · PPG 0.92

AUSTRIA WIEN B · PPG 1.46

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.46) vs Home POOR (0.92)

Win probability 1X2

Bregenz (H) 34.5%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 25.1%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Austria Wien B (A) 40.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Bregenz face Austria Wien B on Friday, May 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bregenz a 35% chance, the draw 25% and Austria Wien B 40%, so Austria Wien B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Bregenz and 1.5 for Austria Wien B (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bregenz are averaging 0.92 points per game versus 1.46 for Austria Wien B. This match finished 2-2.

PredictVantage

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