Polessya vs Oleksandria Prediction & Tips

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Ukraine - Premier League Regular Season - 27 Tsentralnyi Stadion· Zhytomyr Friday, May 8, 2026 15:00

Polessya PPG 1.69

2-1 MISS

Oleksandria PPG 0.46

Away· +34.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

66% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 67.5%

Odds: 1.18 EV: -20.3%

Draw 23.1%

Odds: 5.00 EV: +9.3%

Away 9.3%

Odds: 17.00 EV: +34.9%

Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 52.8% Odds: 1.80 -5.0%

Over 3.5 27.2% Odds: 2.90 -12.7%

BTTS 45.9% Odds: 2.60 +19.3%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0 ✘

2nd 1-0 ✘

3rd 3-0 ✘

4th 1-1 ✘

5th 0-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Polessya

2.15

Oleksandria

0.49

Model SuggestionHome -20.3% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -20.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+34.9%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 57 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5/Under 63%

BTTS/No 68%

Score Hit 56%

ROI -3.6%

Bet Hit 57% (14 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in GOOD form (1.69), Away POOR (0.46) - Strong consensus