Today / Viktoria FC W vs Honved W

Viktoria FC W vs Honved W Prediction

Friday, May 8, 2026

Viktoria FC W
PPG 0.56 · HOME
0 – 4
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY
Honved W
PPG 1.30 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.30) vs Home POOR (0.56)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.4%0-18.2%0-29.9%0-37.9%0-4+8.3%1 1-03.3%1-18.0%1-29.6%1-37.7%1-4+8.1%2 2-01.6%2-13.9%2-24.7%2-33.7%2-4+4.0%3 3-00.5%3-11.3%3-21.5%3-31.2%3-4+1.3%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.4%4+-20.5%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.4%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 12.5%
Draw 23.5%
Away win 64.0%
Over 2.5 60.9%
Over 3.5 43.6%
BTTS 54.6%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 52%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 0-4
xG (home)1.0 xG (away)2.4 BTTS prob54.6%

A 64% / xG 1.0-2.4 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 9.9%
#2 1–2 9.6%
#3 1–1 8.0%
#4 0–3 7.9%
#5 1–3 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Viktoria FC W1.0
Honved W2.4

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.9% · O3.5 PROB 43.6%

Form & verdict PPG

VIKTORIA FC W · PPG 0.56

HONVED W · PPG 1.30

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.30) vs Home POOR (0.56)

Win probability 1X2

Viktoria FC W (H) 12.5%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 23.5%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Honved W (A) 64.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Viktoria FC W face Honved W on Friday, May 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Viktoria FC W a 13% chance, the draw 24% and Honved W 64%, so Honved W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Viktoria FC W and 2.4 for Honved W (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Viktoria FC W are averaging 0.56 points per game versus 1.30 for Honved W. This match finished 0-4.

PredictVantage

Free daily football predictions across 240+ leagues. A Poisson-based model analyses team form, attack and defence strength, and live bookmaker odds to surface value bets — updated every day, graded every night.

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