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Petrojet vs Wadi Degla Prediction— Egypt - Premier League

Relegation Group - 9 ·Friday, May 8, 2026, 14:00

Petrojet

PPG 1.54 · HOME

2 – 2

FULL TIME

Wadi Degla

PPG 1.62 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-017.5%0-116.7%0-27.9%0-32.5%0-4+0.7%1 1-013.8%1-113.2%1-26.3%1-32.0%1-4+0.6%2 2-05.5%2-15.2%2-22.5%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-01.4%3-11.4%3-20.7%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.3%4+-20.2%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 30.3% 35.0% 2.86 -13.3%

Draw 34.2% 36.4% 2.75 -5.9%

Away win 35.5% 37.7% 2.65 -5.9%

Over 2.5 35.1% 41.7% 2.40 -15.8%

Over 3.5 10.0% 22.2% 4.50 -33.0%

BTTS 45.9% 52.6% 1.90 -12.8%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 39%

O2.5 59%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 46%

ROI -23.4%

Bet Hit 36%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 54%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob45.9%

D 34% / xG 0.8-1.0 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 17.5%

#2 1–1 13.2%

#3 0–1 16.7%

#4 1–0 13.8%

#5 0–2 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Petrojet0.8

Wadi Degla1.0

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.1% · O3.5 PROB 10.0%

Form & verdict PPG

PETROJET · PPG 1.54

WADI DEGLA · PPG 1.62

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.54), Away GOOD (1.62)

Win probability 1X2

Petrojet (H) 30.3%

ODDS 2.86 · IMPLIED 35.0% EV -13.3%

Draw 34.2%

ODDS 2.75 · IMPLIED 36.4% EV -5.9%

Wadi Degla (A) 35.5%

ODDS 2.65 · IMPLIED 37.7% EV -5.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Petrojet face Wadi Degla in Egypt - Premier League on Friday, May 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Petrojet a 30% chance, the draw 34% and Wadi Degla 36%, so Wadi Degla are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Petrojet and 1.0 for Wadi Degla (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Petrojet are averaging 1.54 points per game versus 1.62 for Wadi Degla. This match finished 2-2.

Petrojet vs Wadi Degla Prediction— Egypt - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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