Today / A. Contractors vs El Gouna

A. Contractors vs El Gouna Prediction

Friday, May 8, 2026

A. Contractors
PPG 0.93 · HOME
1 – 0
FULL TIME
El Gouna
PPG 1.60 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-029.6%0-120.0%0-26.8%0-31.5%0-4+0.3%1 1-016.0%1-110.8%1-23.7%1-30.8%1-4+0.2%2 2-04.3%2-12.9%2-21.0%2-30.2%2-4+0.0%3 3-00.8%3-10.5%3-20.2%3-30.0%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.1%4+-20.0%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 25.3%
Draw 41.1%
Away win 33.6%
Over 2.5 24.6%
Over 3.5 3.5%
BTTS 38.1%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 67%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 1-0
xG (home)0.5 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob38.1%

D 41% / xG 0.5-0.7 / U2.5 25% / NoBTTS 38%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 29.6%
#2 0–1 20.0%
#3 1–0 16.0%
#4 1–1 10.8%
#5 0–2 6.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

A. Contractors0.5
El Gouna0.7

COMBINED 1.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 24.6% · O3.5 PROB 3.5%

Form & verdict PPG

A. CONTRACTORS · PPG 0.93

EL GOUNA · PPG 1.60

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.60) vs Home POOR (0.93)

Win probability 1X2

A. Contractors (H) 25.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 41.1%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
El Gouna (A) 33.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

A. Contractors face El Gouna on Friday, May 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives A. Contractors a 25% chance, the draw 41% and El Gouna 34%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.5 for A. Contractors and 0.7 for El Gouna (1.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 25% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 38% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, A. Contractors are averaging 0.93 points per game versus 1.60 for El Gouna. This match finished 1-0.

PredictVantage

Free daily football predictions across 240+ leagues. A Poisson-based model analyses team form, attack and defence strength, and live bookmaker odds to surface value bets — updated every day, graded every night.

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