Today / PDRM vs Pulau Pinang

PDRM vs Pulau Pinang Prediction

Friday, May 8, 2026

PDRM

PPG 0.55 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Pulau Pinang

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.9%0-18.2%0-28.8%0-36.2%0-4+5.4%1 1-04.3%1-19.3%1-29.8%1-37.0%1-4+6.1%2 2-02.4%2-15.2%2-25.5%2-33.9%2-4+3.4%3 3-00.9%3-11.9%3-22.1%3-31.5%3-4+1.3%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.7%4+-20.7%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 21.9% — — —

Draw 24.2% — — —

Away win 53.9% — — —

Over 2.5 60.2% — — —

Over 3.5 40.9% — — —

BTTS 58.8% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 46%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)2.1 BTTS prob58.8%

A 54% / xG 1.1-2.1 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 9.3%

#2 1–2 9.8%

#3 0–2 8.8%

#4 1–3 7.0%

#5 0–1 8.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

PDRM1.1

Pulau Pinang2.1

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.2% · O3.5 PROB 40.9%

Form & verdict PPG

PDRM · PPG 0.55

PULAU PINANG · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: POOR (0.55) vs Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

PDRM (H) 21.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Pulau Pinang (A) 53.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

PDRM face Pulau Pinang on Friday, May 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives PDRM a 22% chance, the draw 24% and Pulau Pinang 54%, so Pulau Pinang are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for PDRM and 2.1 for Pulau Pinang (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, PDRM are averaging 0.55 points per game versus 1.00 for Pulau Pinang. This match finished 1-1.

PDRM vs Pulau Pinang Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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