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Kolos Kovalivka vs Kudrivka Prediction— Ukraine - Premier League

Regular Season - 27 ·Friday, May 8, 2026, 12:30

Kolos Kovalivka

PPG 1.62 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

Kudrivka

PPG 0.46 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.3%0-19.2%0-22.9%0-30.6%0-4+0.1%1 1-018.6%1-111.9%1-23.8%1-30.8%1-4+0.1%2 2-012.2%2-17.8%2-22.5%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-05.3%3-13.4%3-21.1%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-02.3%4+-11.5%4+-20.5%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.7% 55.6% 1.80 -10.5%

Draw 28.3% 32.3% 3.10 -7.4%

Away win 22.0% 22.7% 4.40 -1.9%

Over 2.5 35.1% 42.6% 2.35 -17.5%

Over 3.5 13.3% 22.2% 4.50 -24.1%

BTTS 46.5% 48.8% 2.05 -4.7%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 57 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 63%

BTTS 68%

Score Hit 56%

ROI 11.4%

Bet Hit 72%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 45%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob46.5%

H 50% / xG 1.3-0.6 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0✓ 18.6%

#2 0–0 14.3%

#3 1–1 11.9%

#4 2–0 12.2%

#5 2–1 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kolos Kovalivka1.3

Kudrivka0.6

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.1% · O3.5 PROB 13.3%

Form & verdict PPG

KOLOS KOVALIVKA · PPG 1.62

KUDRIVKA · PPG 0.46

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.62) vs P(Home)=49.7%

Win probability 1X2

Kolos Kovalivka (H) 49.7%

ODDS 1.80 · IMPLIED 55.6% EV -10.5%

Draw 28.3%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -7.4%

Kudrivka (A) 22.0%

ODDS 4.40 · IMPLIED 22.7% EV -1.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Kolos Kovalivka face Kudrivka in Ukraine - Premier League on Friday, May 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kolos Kovalivka a 50% chance, the draw 28% and Kudrivka 22%, so Kolos Kovalivka are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Kolos Kovalivka and 0.6 for Kudrivka (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kolos Kovalivka are averaging 1.62 points per game versus 0.46 for Kudrivka. This match finished 1-0.

Kolos Kovalivka vs Kudrivka Prediction— Ukraine - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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