Today / India - Indian Super League / Sporting Delhi vs Odisha FC

Sporting Delhi vs Odisha FC Prediction— India - Indian Super League

Regular Season - 5 ·Friday, May 8, 2026, 11:30

Sporting Delhi

PPG 1.50 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Odisha FC

PPG 0.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.3% vs bookmaker-implied 55.6%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.8%0-17.1%0-23.2%0-31.0%0-4+0.3%1 1-012.9%1-111.6%1-25.2%1-31.6%1-4+0.4%2 2-010.6%2-19.6%2-24.3%2-31.3%2-4+0.4%3 3-05.8%3-15.2%3-22.4%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-03.5%4+-13.1%4+-21.4%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.7% 56.5% 1.77 -12.0%

Draw 25.7% 29.4% 3.40 -7.6%

Away win 24.6% 24.4% 4.10 +0.5%

Over 2.5 46.5% 51.3% 1.95 -9.3%

Over 3.5 25.2% 29.4% 3.40 -8.6%

BTTS 52.3% 55.6% 1.80 -5.9%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 37 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 62%

Score Hit 60%

ROI 5.0%

Bet Hit 64%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 26%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob52.3%

H 50% / xG 1.6-0.9 / O2.5 46% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.6%

#2 1–0 12.9%

#3 2–0 10.6%

#4 0–0 7.8%

#5 2–1 9.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sporting Delhi1.6

Odisha FC0.9

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.5% · O3.5 PROB 25.2%

Form & verdict PPG

SPORTING DELHI · PPG 1.50

ODISHA FC · PPG 0.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.50) vs P(Home)=49.7%

Win probability 1X2

Sporting Delhi (H) 49.7%

ODDS 1.77 · IMPLIED 56.5% EV -12.0%

Draw 25.7%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -7.6%

Odisha FC (A) 24.6%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV +0.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Sporting Delhi face Odisha FC in India - Indian Super League on Friday, May 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sporting Delhi a 50% chance, the draw 26% and Odisha FC 25%, so Sporting Delhi are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Sporting Delhi and 0.9 for Odisha FC (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sporting Delhi are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 0.50 for Odisha FC. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +0.5%. This match finished 1-2.

Sporting Delhi vs Odisha FC Prediction— India - Indian Super League

Match Preview & Prediction

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